Why Predictive Algorithms are So Risky for Public Sector Bodies (2020)

The article by Madeleine Waller and Paul Waller discusses the complexities and inherent risks associated with the use of predictive algorithms in public sector bodies, focusing on their application in various government services such as child welfare and criminal justice. The authors emphasize the critical need for thorough testing, adherence to legal standards, and the integration of ethical considerations throughout the lifecycle of algorithm development and deployment.

Main Takeaways:

  • Risks of Misapplication: Predictive algorithms can be highly problematic in public sector contexts where they may lead to unfair or inaccurate outcomes due to biases in data or flawed model design.
  • Legal and Ethical Concerns: The use of algorithms must align with legal standards concerning human rights and data protection, and should be subject to stringent ethical evaluations to prevent maladministration.
  • Case Studies Highlighting Issues: Instances such as the misuse of algorithms in UK public exam grading and the US justice system illustrate the potential for significant harm if these tools are not carefully managed.
  • Importance of Transparency and Accountability: Ensuring that algorithmic decisions are transparent, explainable, and subject to public scrutiny is vital for maintaining trust and accountability in public administration.
  • Recommendations for Safe Use: The article advocates for rigorous testing in real-world settings, comprehensive oversight, and the involvement of all stakeholders in the development and implementation phases to mitigate risks.